Pomeroy Trends Valpo (In&Out of Conference) & Conference for the Season

Just Sayin · November 13, 2019, 04:45:05 PM

The latest date represents cumulative totals since season began.

OVERALL RANK ADJ OFF EFF ADJ DEF EFF
11/13/19 198 96.3 99.0
11/14/19 197 96.6 99.3
11/18/19 190 96.7 98.8
11/23/19 177 98.1 99.5
11/24/19 205 97.0 100.0
11/25/19 191 97.8 99.9

FieldGoodie05 · November 25, 2019, 02:36:27 PM

Quote from: wh on November 25, 2019, 02:23:33 PM
THE FIRST 8-MINUTE SAGA

For the last 4 games (SIUE, N. Dakota, GCU, Nevada):

% of Total Shots Taken from 3
57% 1st 8 minutes
32% Final 32 minutes

3-Pt Shooting Pct.
- 1st 8 Minutes 20%
- Final 32 Minutes 40%

Score Differential
- 1st 8 Minutes - Outscored by all 4 opponents by 25 points collectively (6 pts/game)
- Final 32 Minutes - Outscored opponents by 31 points collectively (+46 for 3 W's; -15 for 1 loss)

Take Away: Stop jacking up so many 3's in the first 8 minutes (especially early in the shot clock).

Thanks for sharing WH, that is quite eye popping. Do we think that 6 games is a good sample size as to demonstrate our inability to hit from deep? If so, I'd have to agree whole heartedly. What can we do instead since the opponents are clearly sagging on us so as to allow fairly open shots. What is the alternative knowing our strengths and weaknesses? hahah Maybe we turn it over and then quickly steal for a fast break!!!!

Just Sayin · November 25, 2019, 03:12:52 PM

Valpo

OVERALL RANK ADJ OFF EFF ADJ DEF EFF
11/13/19 198 96.3 99.0
11/14/19 197 96.6 99.3
11/18/19 190 96.7 98.8
11/23/19 177 98.1 99.5
11/24/19 205 97.0 100.0
11/25/19 191 97.8 99.9

Conference Rank AdjOE AdjDE
11/25/19

N. Iowa 100 100.8 94.7
Loyola 118 98.9 95.1
Bradley 142 99.3 97.8
Drake 137 98.7 97.0
Ind. St. 140 103.4 101.8
Mizz St. 147 99.1 98.1
Evansville 179 98.6 100.2
ILL St. 204 98.7 101.4
Valpo 191 97.8 99.9
S. ILL 237 94.4 100.3

Early Trends after Nevada game and before Cincy game:

Conference Teams:
Valpo is 9th in overall rank
Valpo is 9th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency
Valpo is 8th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

Yes, it's early but the numbers calculated are the same for all 353 teams and then ranked accordingly.

Defense has been a concern for this team from jumpstreet. You can't win games with a mediocre defense.

Looking at all 353 teams AT THIS TIME, Valpo will lose to an average team by 3.01 points, relative to all other Divison 1 teams.

This is NOT good news.

Cincy is favored by 14 points.

One positive is Valpo's offensive rebounding.

Another factor to consider this early within the conference rankings only is that our conference top teams have played an easier schedule than Valpo, all OOC games. Their OOC SOSs are weaker than Valpo's.

Just Sayin · November 26, 2019, 04:20:40 PM

SOS and W-L Record, As of 11/25/19, MVC

Ranked Toughest to easiest schedule:

37 Indiana St. 2-4
108 Illinois St. 2-4
142 Valpo 4-3
181 Evansville 4-3
186 So. Illinois 2-4
207 Missouri St. 3-4
256 Drake 5-2
266 Bradley 4-2
294 Loyola 3-4
316 N. Iowa 6-0

FWalum · November 27, 2019, 08:00:52 AM

Quote from: Just Sayin on November 26, 2019, 04:20:40 PM
SOS and W-L Record, As of 11/25/19, MVC

Ranked Toughest to easiest schedule:

37 Indiana St. 2-4
108 Illinois St. 2-4
142 Valpo 4-3
181 Evansville 4-3
186 So. Illinois 2-4
207 Missouri St. 3-4
256 Drake 5-2
266 Bradley 4-2
294 Loyola 3-4
316 N. Iowa 6-0

That doesn't look so bad.

Just Sayin · November 27, 2019, 10:58:05 AM

Quote from: FWalum on November 27, 2019, 08:00:52 AM
Quote from: Just Sayin on November 26, 2019, 04:20:40 PMSOS and W-L Record, As of 11/25/19, MVC Ranked Toughest to easiest schedule: 37 Indiana St. 2-4 108 Illinois St. 2-4 142 Valpo 4-3 181 Evansville 4-3 186 So. Illinois 2-4 207 Missouri St. 3-4 256 Drake 5-2 266 Bradley 4-2 294 Loyola 3-4 316 N. Iowa 6-0
That doesn't look so bad.

No it doesn't.

Just Sayin · December 04, 2019, 09:35:06 AM

Valpo

OVERALL RANK ADJ OFF EFF ADJ DEF EFF
11/13/19 198 96.3 99.0
11/14/19 197 96.6 99.3
11/18/19 190 96.7 98.8
11/23/19 177 98.1 99.5
11/24/19 205 97.0 100.0
11/25/19 191 97.8 99.9
12/3/19 197 99.5 101.7

Conference Rank AdjOE AdjDE
12/03/19

N. Iowa 96 101.8 94.8
Loyola 110 100.0 95.0
Bradley 128 99.3 97.0
Ind. St. 131 104.2 101.9
Drake 135 96.9 94.8
Mizz St. 152 99.4 98.9
Evansville 176 98.9 100.5
Valpo 197 99.5 101.7
Ill. St. 200 100.1 102.4
S. ILL 225 95.6 100.6

Takeaway:

In conference, this team is in 8th place (by a hair) when it comes to defensive efficiency. Offensive efficiency isn't all that bad being in 5th place. If the team can improve significantly on defense and more on offense, they can be competitive in the conference. If not, well, it looks like they will have a losing season, both overall and in conference.

Assuming that there is upside to this "new" team, things don't look all that bad. But c'mon, we have to play better defense, PERIOD!

Just Sayin · December 05, 2019, 06:42:57 AM

Just for a point of reference, this is the preseason poll taken for this season:

MVC Preseason Poll School (First-Place Votes)Total
1. Missouri State (29) .............410
2. Bradley (5) .............368
3. UNI (3) ..............343
4. Loyola Chicago (6) ...............340
5. Drake ...............243
6. Indiana State ...............210
7. Illinois State (1) ..............193
8. Evansville ..............132
9. Valparaiso ...............98
10. Southern Illinois ...............83
Poll determined by panel of league sports information directors, media, and coaches.

Just Sayin · December 09, 2019, 07:56:04 AM

Valpo

OVERALL RANK ADJ OFF EFF ADJ DEF EFF
11/13/19 198 96.3 99.0
11/14/19 197 96.6 99.3
11/18/19 190 96.7 98.8
11/23/19 177 98.1 99.5
11/24/19 205 97.0 100.0
11/25/19 191 97.8 99.9
12/3/19 197 99.5 101.7
12/8/19 166 99.7 100.3

Conference Rank AdjOE AdjDE
12/08/19

N. Iowa 99 102.2 95.4
Loyola 110 100.7 95.5
In. St. 119 105.2 101.4
Bradley 121 100.8 97.6
Drake 143 97.3 95.8
Mo. St. 154 99.8 99.3
Valpo 166 99.7 100.3
Evansville 182 101.4 102.8
IL. St. 195 99.7 101.6
So. ILL 218 97.9 102.0

Defending Shots: Valpo

Eff.
FG% (Rank) 3Pt %(Rank) 2Pt%(Rank)

Before CMU Game 57.2(320's) 38.5(320's) 57.0(320's)
After CMU Game 54.5(309) 35.2(250) 55.4(318)

Takeaway:

Boy what difference one game can make!
Defense decided to show up.
If they can maintain this level of defensive intensity throughout the season, it's anybody's guess where they will end up in conference but I'm guessing near the top.

A big "IF"

I heard Luke pregame say that they were working hard on defense in practice.

Division 1 Average, Defending Shots:

CMU Game: Valpo
Eff. FG% 49.2
3Pt% 33.0 5.9 (1-17)
2Pt% 49.0 44.4 (20-45)

wh · December 09, 2019, 08:45:15 AM

N. Iowa 99
Loyola 110 Same record as Valpo - 56 places higher
In. St. 119 Worse record than Valpo - 47 places higher
Bradley 121
Drake 143
Mo. St. 154 Worse record than Valpo - 12 places higher
Valpo 166
Evansville 182
IL. St. 195
So. ILL 218

Scheduling is hard.
Luke Gore

vusupporter · December 09, 2019, 08:49:10 AM

Our KenPom non-conference strength of schedule is currently 147.

SanityLost17 · December 09, 2019, 08:55:58 AM

1. We are not as good of a defensive team as the CMU game indicates. They were cold even when they were open, so some of that was luck.
2. We are not as bad of a defensive team as we showed in all games prior to the CMU game. We have run into some bad luck on teams hitting some tough shots. Not all shots I grant you, but a few times I was watching and I said out loud to myself, "man, another game where the other team is hitting a decent percentage of tough shots, while burying almost all their open ones."

We are somewhere in-between. I will say we had a lot of time to prep for CMU and it showed. I think Lottich can coach D and in conference when there is a lot of game film on our opponents I think he will have us ready more nights than not. That said, we still have lots of guys who are a step slow in their lateral movement, aka defensive slide. So no matter what the prep work I think that will continue to be a problem. Krikke does a lot of things right on defense, but his lateral movement is pedestrian. Same goes for McMillan. Robinson/Gordon/Kiser also have some issues against guys with a quick 1st step.

Just Sayin · December 09, 2019, 08:58:05 AM

wh, Keep in mind that the pomeroy rankings are not based on W-L records but on the net OE - DE, all relative to every division 1 team.

crusader05 · December 09, 2019, 09:54:47 AM

CMU definitely was having an off night but that in the end probably just means we beat them by 10 instead of 20.

Sackey and Zion are both in a bit of slump now and we lost Fazekas but if even one of those gets turned around and barring no other injuries we are going to be pretty tough come conference season even if our front court is occasionally a little slow on the uptake.

I think Loyola remains a tough match up for us but after last night's game I feel much better about both Charlotte and Arkansas.

valpo64 · December 09, 2019, 11:07:04 AM

If Sackey has a good shooting night it is an exception to the rule...as for defense we played extremely well yesterday and it was fun to watch. However lets face it, Kiser will never be a defensive force, except perhaps in a zone defensive setup.
While he takes a charge now and then it is often from dropping off on someone else's man to cover. He is very slow and usually gets beat on the first step nearly every time on the defensive end. However I do love his effort and attitude. Being a good "glue guy" only goes so far. While this team will have its weaker moments now and then, it is fun to watch this new group grow and jell. Much of the credit should go to Coach L as he continues to mold this team into a very competitive force in the MVC.

Just Sayin · December 09, 2019, 12:50:03 PM

Quote from: valpo64 on December 09, 2019, 11:07:04 AMIf Sackey has a good shooting night it is an exception to the rule...as for defense we played extremely well yesterday and it was fun to watch.

Sackey's shooting numbers:

2018-2019 Season:

2Pt% 39.3 3Pt% 23.7

2019-2020 To Date:

2Pt% 43.2 3Pt% 25.0

Career at Valpo To Date:

2Pt% 40.6 3Pt% 24.1

At this time in his career, he should NEVER be the go-to guy during crunch time in a close game. But that doesn't mean he shouldn't be on the floor.

This year to date, Sackey is 5th place in conference in Steal%(Javon 2nd place)
and Sackey is in 7th place in Assist Rate in conference(Javon 11th)

Just Sayin · December 12, 2019, 12:30:00 PM

I'm starting to track Pomeroy's W-L record. The first few games of this season are eye-opening. Remember, his ratings on the first day of the season determine which team wins and which team loses. Here are the first few games of this season and the W-L% based upon his pre-game predictions:

Number of D1 Games Pom's Picks
Date Played Wins Losses Win%
11/5/19 88 71 17 80.68
11/6/19 26 21 5 80.77
11/7/19 8 7 1 87.50
11/8/19 47 36 11 79.88

Still working on rest. Pretty good numbers for pre-season rankings. I've read that even the odds (that's a pun son) makers incorporate Pom's ratings in their calculations.

Just Sayin · December 17, 2019, 03:47:12 PM

Valpo

OVERALL RANK ADJ OFF EFF ADJ DEF EFF
11/13/19 198 96.3 99.0
11/14/19 197 96.6 99.3
11/18/19 190 96.7 98.8
11/23/19 177 98.1 99.5
11/24/19 205 97.0 100.0
11/25/19 191 97.8 99.9
12/3/19 197 99.5 101.7
12/8/19 166 99.7 100.3
12/16/19 182 99.0 100.4

Conference Rank AdjOE AdjDE
12/16/19

N. Iowa 76 105.6 95.4
Loyola 109 100.0 94.7
Bradley 113 101.5 96.4
In. St. 117 105.2 101.1
Mo. St. 140 99.4 97.7
Drake 156 96.2 95.6
Valpo 182 99.0 100.4
IL. St. 203 99.6 102.2
Evansville 208 99.7 102.6
So. ILL 215 97.6 101.8

Defending Shots: Valpo

Eff.
FG% (Rank) 3Pt %(Rank) 2Pt%(Rank)

Before CMU Game 57.2(320's) 38.5(320's) 57.0(320's)
After CMU Game 54.5(309) 35.2(250) 55.4(318)
12/16/19 54.5(311) 35.6(272) 55.0(317)

Division 1 Average,
Defending Shots:

Charlotte Game: Valpo
Eff. FG% 49.2
3Pt% 33.1 34.8 (8-23)
2Pt% 49.0 53.3(16-30)

Takeaway:

Looks like the CMU game was an aberration.

Just Sayin · December 19, 2019, 12:32:39 PM

OVERALL RANK ADJ OFF EFF ADJ DEF EFF
11/13/19 198 96.3 99.0
11/14/19 197 96.6 99.3
11/18/19 190 96.7 98.8
11/23/19 177 98.1 99.5
11/24/19 205 97.0 100.0
11/25/19 191 97.8 99.9
12/3/19 197 99.5 101.7
12/8/19 166 99.7 100.3
12/16/19 182 99.0 100.4
12/18/19 176 100.7 101.5

Conference Rank AdjOE AdjDE
12/18/19

N. Iowa 76 105.9 95.7
Loyola 105 100.9 94.9
Bradley 114 101.8 96.6
In. St. 121 105.4 101.4
Mo. St. 140 99.6 98.0
Drake 155 96.5 95.8
Valpo 176 100.7 101.5
IL. St. 205 99.3 102.3
Evansville 207 100.1 103.1
So. ILL 209 98.3 101.4

Defending Shots: Valpo

Eff.
FG% (Rank) 3Pt %(Rank) 2Pt%(Rank)

Before CMU Game 57.2(320's) 38.5(320's) 57.0(320's)
After CMU Game 54.5(309) 35.2(250) 55.4(318)
12/16/19 54.5(311) 35.6(272) 55.0(317)
12/18/19 54.7(318) 36.1(282) 55.0(317)

Division 1 Average,
Defending Shots:

High Point Shooting % - Valpo defending shots
Eff. FG% 49.3
3Pt% 33.1 3Pt% 40.0(8-20)
2Pt% 49.1 2Pt% 55.0(22-40)

Takeaway:

Defensive efficiency on downward trend. We let a weaker team shoot way above Division 1 average. Where's the consistency? Was the CMU game reflective of an awesome defensive effort or did CMU just have a horrible shooting night? Maybe a little of both. But why isn't the team improving defensively? Not a good sign.
Sorry guys but the defensive effort and intensity you showed at CMU must be replicated every single game. No slacking. Right coach?
EDIT:
High Point's Average Shooting %:
2-Pt%: 41.3(339) ..........................................Valpo defense let them shoot 55%
3-Pt%: 30.7(252) ............................................Valpo defense let them shoot 40%

Just Sayin · December 31, 2019, 12:06:32 PM

Valpo

OVERALL RANK ADJ OFF EFF ADJ DEF EFF (Lower number better)
11/13/19 198 96.3 99.0
11/14/19 197 96.6 99.3
11/18/19 190 96.7 98.8
11/23/19 177 98.1 99.5
11/24/19 205 97.0 100.0
11/25/19 191 97.8 99.9
12/3/19 197 99.5 101.7
12/8/19 166 99.7 100.3
12/16/19 182 99.0 100.4
12/18/19 176 100.7 101.5
12/21/19 163 100.6 100.6
12/30/19 166 100.4 100.7

Conference

Rank AdjOE AdjDE
12/30/19

N. Iowa 71 107.1 96.2
Loyola 105 100.3 94.5
In. St 117 104.7 100.8
Bradley 114 101.1 96.8
Drake 152 98.3 96.9
Mizz St. 149 99.9 98.4
Valpo 166 100.4 100.7
So. IL 199 97.8 100.6
Evansville 200 100.3 103.0
ILL. St. 221 98.6 102.9

Defending Shots: Valpo
Opponent's Shooting %
Eff.
FG%(Rank) 3Pt %(Rank) 2Pt%(Rank)

Before CMU Game 57.2(320's) 38.5(

?) 57.0(320's)
After CMU Game 54.5(309) 35.2(250) 55.4(318)
12/16/19 54.5(311) 35.6(272) 55.0(317)
12/18/19 54.7(318) 36.1(282) 55.0(317)
12/21/19 54.4(308) 36.2(288) 54.4(307)
12/30/19 53.9(302) 36.2(282) 53.8(292)

Division 1 Shooting
Average

Loyola Shooting % - Valpo defending shots
Eff. FG% 49.3 12/30/19 Game
3Pt% 33.1 3Pt% 35.7(5-14)
2Pt% 49.1 2Pt% 45.7(16-35)

Loyola Average
Shooting % To Date:

2-Pt%: 56.6(7) .........................................Valpo defense held them to 45.7%
3-Pt%: 34.6(110) .........................................Valpo defense held them to 35.7%

Trivia: From the beginning of the seasaon through Jan 1, number of games played: 2524 games

Just Sayin · January 05, 2020, 11:38:53 AM

The latest date represents cumulative totals since the season began. D1 AdjOE & AdjDE average = 100.00

Valpo for the Season

OVERALL RANK ADJ OFF EFF ADJ DEF EFF (Lower number better)
11/13/19 198 96.3 99.0
11/14/19 197 96.6 99.3
11/18/19 190 96.7 98.8
11/23/19 177 98.1 99.5
11/24/19 205 97.0 100.0
11/25/19 191 97.8 99.9
12/3/19 197 99.5 101.7
12/8/19 166 99.7 100.3
12/16/19 182 99.0 100.4
12/18/19 176 100.7 101.5
12/21/19 163 100.6 100.6
12/30/19 166 100.4 100.7
1/4/20 165 101.1(155) 100.7(173)

Conference for the Season

Rank AdjOE AdjDE
1/4/20

N. Iowa 79 107.0(47) 97.2(120)
Loyola 106 100.1(170) 94.4(75)
In. St 117 105.6(66) 101.4(186)
Bradley 113 101.8(144) 97.0(114)
Drake 151 99.4(191) 98.0(131)
Mizz St. 138 99.3(193) 97.1(119)
Valpo 165 101.1(155) 100.7(173)
So. IL 195 97.0(236) 99.4(146)
Evansville 202 99.4(189) 103.1(235)
ILL. St. 212 98.1(216) 102.2(211)

Defending Shots: Valpo
Opponent's Shooting % - Season
Eff.
FG%(Rank) 3Pt %(Rank) 2Pt%(Rank)

Before CMU Game 57.2(320's) 38.5(

?) 57.0(320's)
After CMU Game 54.5(309) 35.2(250) 55.4(318)
12/16/19 54.5(311) 35.6(272) 55.0(317)
12/18/19 54.7(318) 36.1(282) 55.0(317)
12/21/19 54.4(308) 36.2(288) 54.4(307)
12/30/19 53.9(302) 36.2(282) 53.8(292)
1/4/20 54.0(310) 36.2(279) 53.8(300)

Division 1 Shooting
Average - Season

Evansville Shooting % - Valpo defending shots
Eff. FG% 49.3 1/4/20 Game
3Pt% 33.2 3Pt% 36.0(9-25)
2Pt% 49.1 2Pt% 56.7(17-30)

Evansville Season Average
Shooting %:

2-Pt%: 52.3(76) .........................................Valpo defense held them to 56.7%
3-Pt%: 34.1(130) .........................................Valpo defense held them to 36.0%

Trivia: From the beginning of the seasaon through Jan 4, number of games played: 2745 games

Takeaways:

Offensive Efficiency is getting better with time. On 11/13 it was 96.3. Today it's 101.5(155). In conference for the season, Valpo is fourth best in AdjOE, while seventh best in AdjDE.

Defensive Efficiency is getting worse. On 11/13 it was 99.0. Today it is 100.7(173). We let Evansville shoot above their average both in 2% and 3%. Even so for the season, the defending of shots has improved some from before the CMU game, but the overall cumulative numbers are still bad. In the high 200s and low 300s.

How good is this team? At this time, we have a slightly above-average offense and a slightly below average defense relative to all other 352 teams.

vu84v2 · January 05, 2020, 04:14:17 PM

It would be pretty hard to argue that there is a statistically significant difference in the defensive rating through the season.

Just Sayin · January 05, 2020, 04:38:30 PM

Quote from: vu84v2 on January 05, 2020, 04:14:17 PM
It would be pretty hard to argue that there is a statistically significant difference in the defensive rating through the season.

How would you calculate that?

Just Sayin · January 09, 2020, 04:46:10 PM

The latest date represents cumulative totals since the season began. D1 AdjOE & AdjDE average = 100.00

Valpo for the Season

OVERALL RANK ADJ OFF EFF ADJ DEF EFF (Lower number better)
11/13/19 198 96.3 99.0
11/14/19 197 96.6 99.3
11/18/19 190 96.7 98.8
11/23/19 177 98.1 99.5
11/24/19 205 97.0 100.0
11/25/19 191 97.8 99.9
12/3/19 197 99.5 101.7
12/8/19 166 99.7 100.3
12/16/19 182 99.0 100.4
12/18/19 176 100.7 101.5
12/21/19 163 100.6 100.6
12/30/19 166 100.4 100.7
1/4/20 165 101.1(155) 100.7(173)
1/8/20 175 100.2(170) 100.9(179)

Conference for the Season

Rank AdjOE AdjDE
1/8/20

N. Iowa 76 107.5(46) 97.4(116)
Loyola 107 100.5(165) 94.9(83)
In. St 115 106.0(57) 101.5(189)
Bradley 102 102.1(138) 95.8(93)
Drake 146 100.0(176) 98.2(131)
Mizz St. 142 99.3(198) 97.(107)
Valpo 175 100.2(170) 100.9(179)
So. IL 182 96.9(243) 98.4(137)
Evansville 223 98.6(210) 103.1(235)
ILL. St. 212 98.1(216) 103.5(239)

Defending Shots: Valpo
Opponent's Shooting % - Season
Eff.
FG%(Rank) 3Pt %(Rank) 2Pt%(Rank)

Before CMU Game 57.2(320's) 38.5(

?) 57.0(320's)
After CMU Game 54.5(309) 35.2(250) 55.4(318)
12/16/19 54.5(311) 35.6(272) 55.0(317)
12/18/19 54.7(318) 36.1(282) 55.0(317)
12/21/19 54.4(308) 36.2(288) 54.4(307)
12/30/19 53.9(302) 36.2(282) 53.8(292)
1/4/20 54.0(310) 36.2(279) 53.8(300)
1/8/20 54.2(316) 37.0(309) 53.6(291)

Division 1 Shooting
Average - Season

So. Illinois Shooting % - Valpo defending shots
Eff. FG% 49.3 1/7/20 Game
3Pt% 33.1 3Pt% 50.0(8-16)
2Pt% 49.1 2Pt% 48.3(14-29)

So. Illinois Season Average
Shooting %:

2-Pt%: 51.7(87) .........................................Valpo defense held them to 48.3%
3-Pt%: 34.3(118) .........................................Valpo defense held them to 50.0%

Takeaways:

Valpo defense held So. Illinois to below their shooting average in 2Pt% (Don't ask about 3Pt%). Defensive efficiency is slightly below average though and going the wrong way. We are slightly improving our defense of the 2-pt shot. Offensive efficiency for the season down slightly.

To sum:
Valpo, for the season thus far is a slightly above average offensive team and a slightly below average defensive team relative to the other 352 teams.

That doesn't mean they are not fun to watch or that they can't make significant improvements as the season progresses. I'm cautiously optimistic that they can start to gel and become a very good consistent basketball team. They have a long way to go and are a work-in-progress.

Just Sayin · January 09, 2020, 05:22:16 PM

The latest date represents cumulative totals since the season began.

Rankings For The Season To Date
Best Offensive Teams In&Out of Conference Best Defensive Teams In&Out of Conference

1/8/20

1. No.Iowa 1. Loyola
2. Indiana St. 2. Bradley
3. Bradley 3. Miz. St.
4. Loyola 4. No. Iowa
5. Valpo 5. Drake
6. Drake 6. So. Illinois
7. Miz. St. 7. Valpo
8. Evansville 8. Indiana St.
9. Illinois St. 9. Illinois St.
10. So. Illinois 10. Evansville

Takeaways:

Looking at season numbers, there are mismatches between OE and DE for all teams. It seems logical to me that the teams that are more evenly matched both offensively and defensively (Efficiency) will be the most balanced teams and therefore the ones toughest to beat. I don't know of any research done on this, (as it relates to KenPom's OE and DE) but it's just a hunch.

Thus, the teams to date to keep an eye on - in my view are:

1. No. Iowa: Offense 1; Defense 4
2. Bradley: Offense 3; Defense 2
3. Loyola: Offense 4; Defense 1
4. Drake: Offense 6; Defense 5
Runner up: Miz St.: Offense 7; Defense 3

Bradley seems to be the most balanced for teams in the top-tier of the conference. (Looks that way in-conference too) If they remain that consistent, I would expect them to be either a 1 or 2 seed. But it's early and this is just a theory of mine.